McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-062746Daily Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-072693
2017-06-082548
2017-06-092389
2017-06-102200
2017-06-112021
2017-06-121753
2017-06-131509
2017-06-141384
2017-06-151308
2017-06-161388ESP Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-171360
2017-06-181312
2017-06-191236
2017-06-201129
2017-06-211084
2017-06-22974
2017-06-23905
2017-06-24814
2017-06-25748
2017-06-26702
2017-06-27664
2017-06-28607
2017-06-29549
2017-06-30508
2017-07-01476
2017-07-02446
2017-07-03420
2017-07-04399
2017-07-05377
2017-07-06355
2017-07-07340
2017-07-08322
2017-07-09308
2017-07-10293
2017-07-11288
2017-07-12275
2017-07-13263
2017-07-14257
2017-07-15251
2017-07-16235
2017-07-17230
2017-07-18224
2017-07-19211
2017-07-20200
2017-07-21192
2017-07-22195
2017-07-23188
2017-07-24192
2017-07-25192
2017-07-26184
2017-07-27182
2017-07-28191
2017-07-29196
2017-07-30189
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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