McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-072715Daily Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-082505
2017-06-092347
2017-06-102184
2017-06-112038
2017-06-121816
2017-06-131563
2017-06-141359
2017-06-151224
2017-06-161154
2017-06-171287ESP Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-181275
2017-06-191205
2017-06-201121
2017-06-211072
2017-06-22967
2017-06-23877
2017-06-24801
2017-06-25746
2017-06-26688
2017-06-27632
2017-06-28583
2017-06-29538
2017-06-30501
2017-07-01469
2017-07-02441
2017-07-03417
2017-07-04395
2017-07-05373
2017-07-06353
2017-07-07337
2017-07-08320
2017-07-09305
2017-07-10291
2017-07-11278
2017-07-12265
2017-07-13260
2017-07-14255
2017-07-15250
2017-07-16234
2017-07-17230
2017-07-18222
2017-07-19209
2017-07-20199
2017-07-21191
2017-07-22196
2017-07-23189
2017-07-24191
2017-07-25191
2017-07-26183
2017-07-27183
2017-07-28193
2017-07-29196
2017-07-30188
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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