McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-082433Daily Model Output (20170607)
2017-06-092391
2017-06-102256
2017-06-112086
2017-06-121914
2017-06-131676
2017-06-141466
2017-06-151217
2017-06-161124
2017-06-171100
2017-06-181191ESP Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-191146
2017-06-201087
2017-06-211029
2017-06-22927
2017-06-23840
2017-06-24772
2017-06-25705
2017-06-26648
2017-06-27602
2017-06-28565
2017-06-29518
2017-06-30483
2017-07-01456
2017-07-02429
2017-07-03408
2017-07-04387
2017-07-05365
2017-07-06347
2017-07-07331
2017-07-08315
2017-07-09300
2017-07-10286
2017-07-11273
2017-07-12261
2017-07-13256
2017-07-14252
2017-07-15248
2017-07-16231
2017-07-17227
2017-07-18219
2017-07-19206
2017-07-20197
2017-07-21189
2017-07-22194
2017-07-23187
2017-07-24187
2017-07-25190
2017-07-26180
2017-07-27181
2017-07-28186
2017-07-29191
2017-07-30187
2017-07-31176



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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