McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 09 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-102608Daily Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-112432
2017-06-122201
2017-06-131963
2017-06-141702
2017-06-151356
2017-06-161197
2017-06-171108
2017-06-181044
2017-06-19974
2017-06-201054ESP Model Output (20170608)
2017-06-21999
2017-06-22923
2017-06-23838
2017-06-24761
2017-06-25693
2017-06-26642
2017-06-27605
2017-06-28559
2017-06-29510
2017-06-30481
2017-07-01452
2017-07-02427
2017-07-03405
2017-07-04383
2017-07-05363
2017-07-06342
2017-07-07331
2017-07-08312
2017-07-09300
2017-07-10285
2017-07-11273
2017-07-12260
2017-07-13254
2017-07-14251
2017-07-15246
2017-07-16234
2017-07-17226
2017-07-18218
2017-07-19205
2017-07-20196
2017-07-21188
2017-07-22193
2017-07-23185
2017-07-24187
2017-07-25190
2017-07-26181
2017-07-27179
2017-07-28186
2017-07-29191
2017-07-30186
2017-07-31175



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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