McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 10 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-112482Daily Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-122418
2017-06-132232
2017-06-141916
2017-06-151512
2017-06-161340
2017-06-171283
2017-06-181255
2017-06-191218
2017-06-201177
2017-06-21918ESP Model Output (20170609)
2017-06-22868
2017-06-23797
2017-06-24729
2017-06-25668
2017-06-26612
2017-06-27572
2017-06-28529
2017-06-29495
2017-06-30461
2017-07-01442
2017-07-02416
2017-07-03393
2017-07-04372
2017-07-05354
2017-07-06335
2017-07-07322
2017-07-08304
2017-07-09292
2017-07-10280
2017-07-11267
2017-07-12255
2017-07-13250
2017-07-14247
2017-07-15240
2017-07-16230
2017-07-17221
2017-07-18213
2017-07-19202
2017-07-20193
2017-07-21185
2017-07-22188
2017-07-23181
2017-07-24183
2017-07-25185
2017-07-26178
2017-07-27178
2017-07-28183
2017-07-29183
2017-07-30184
2017-07-31173



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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