McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-122391Daily Model Output (20170611)
2017-06-132261
2017-06-141968
2017-06-151570
2017-06-161371
2017-06-171286
2017-06-181248
2017-06-191206
2017-06-201164
2017-06-211098
2017-06-221016ESP Model Output (20170610)
2017-06-23917
2017-06-24836
2017-06-25759
2017-06-26697
2017-06-27647
2017-06-28597
2017-06-29555
2017-06-30511
2017-07-01483
2017-07-02454
2017-07-03429
2017-07-04407
2017-07-05385
2017-07-06365
2017-07-07350
2017-07-08330
2017-07-09316
2017-07-10302
2017-07-11289
2017-07-12274
2017-07-13266
2017-07-14266
2017-07-15254
2017-07-16243
2017-07-17233
2017-07-18231
2017-07-19217
2017-07-20206
2017-07-21198
2017-07-22200
2017-07-23192
2017-07-24191
2017-07-25195
2017-07-26187
2017-07-27186
2017-07-28191
2017-07-29197
2017-07-30191
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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