McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-132093Daily Model Output (20170612)
2017-06-141917
2017-06-151564
2017-06-161386
2017-06-171316
2017-06-181286
2017-06-191237
2017-06-201170
2017-06-211097
2017-06-221014
2017-06-23902ESP Model Output (20170611)
2017-06-24819
2017-06-25747
2017-06-26681
2017-06-27625
2017-06-28583
2017-06-29542
2017-06-30506
2017-07-01477
2017-07-02450
2017-07-03426
2017-07-04403
2017-07-05382
2017-07-06363
2017-07-07344
2017-07-08327
2017-07-09311
2017-07-10298
2017-07-11286
2017-07-12270
2017-07-13265
2017-07-14264
2017-07-15252
2017-07-16241
2017-07-17232
2017-07-18228
2017-07-19215
2017-07-20204
2017-07-21196
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23190
2017-07-24190
2017-07-25192
2017-07-26185
2017-07-27186
2017-07-28188
2017-07-29194
2017-07-30190
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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