McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-141885Daily Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-151648
2017-06-161455
2017-06-171376
2017-06-181300
2017-06-191232
2017-06-201188
2017-06-211112
2017-06-221020
2017-06-23927
2017-06-24819ESP Model Output (20170612)
2017-06-25743
2017-06-26682
2017-06-27624
2017-06-28579
2017-06-29540
2017-06-30507
2017-07-01474
2017-07-02446
2017-07-03421
2017-07-04400
2017-07-05379
2017-07-06360
2017-07-07345
2017-07-08327
2017-07-09312
2017-07-10299
2017-07-11287
2017-07-12271
2017-07-13265
2017-07-14260
2017-07-15248
2017-07-16237
2017-07-17231
2017-07-18228
2017-07-19215
2017-07-20204
2017-07-21196
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23191
2017-07-24193
2017-07-25193
2017-07-26186
2017-07-27186
2017-07-28193
2017-07-29194
2017-07-30190
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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