McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-151630Daily Model Output (20170614)
2017-06-161438
2017-06-171353
2017-06-181290
2017-06-191240
2017-06-201185
2017-06-211120
2017-06-221043
2017-06-23952
2017-06-24868
2017-06-25737ESP Model Output (20170613)
2017-06-26672
2017-06-27620
2017-06-28578
2017-06-29539
2017-06-30502
2017-07-01471
2017-07-02444
2017-07-03420
2017-07-04400
2017-07-05379
2017-07-06360
2017-07-07343
2017-07-08325
2017-07-09309
2017-07-10297
2017-07-11285
2017-07-12270
2017-07-13264
2017-07-14259
2017-07-15247
2017-07-16236
2017-07-17231
2017-07-18227
2017-07-19212
2017-07-20204
2017-07-21196
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23187
2017-07-24188
2017-07-25194
2017-07-26187
2017-07-27186
2017-07-28191
2017-07-29192
2017-07-30190
2017-07-31180



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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