McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-161469Daily Model Output (20170615)
2017-06-171409
2017-06-181388
2017-06-191368
2017-06-201295
2017-06-211217
2017-06-221129
2017-06-231025
2017-06-24927
2017-06-25840
2017-06-26696ESP Model Output (20170614)
2017-06-27638
2017-06-28588
2017-06-29548
2017-06-30509
2017-07-01476
2017-07-02447
2017-07-03422
2017-07-04400
2017-07-05380
2017-07-06360
2017-07-07345
2017-07-08327
2017-07-09311
2017-07-10299
2017-07-11285
2017-07-12271
2017-07-13262
2017-07-14261
2017-07-15249
2017-07-16238
2017-07-17231
2017-07-18229
2017-07-19211
2017-07-20204
2017-07-21197
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23188
2017-07-24188
2017-07-25192
2017-07-26185
2017-07-27186
2017-07-28194
2017-07-29194
2017-07-30191
2017-07-31181



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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