McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-171466Daily Model Output (20170616)
2017-06-181423
2017-06-191380
2017-06-201307
2017-06-211227
2017-06-221137
2017-06-231027
2017-06-24919
2017-06-25817
2017-06-26729
2017-06-27675ESP Model Output (20170615)
2017-06-28614
2017-06-29563
2017-06-30522
2017-07-01490
2017-07-02459
2017-07-03433
2017-07-04409
2017-07-05388
2017-07-06368
2017-07-07354
2017-07-08335
2017-07-09319
2017-07-10304
2017-07-11290
2017-07-12276
2017-07-13269
2017-07-14265
2017-07-15253
2017-07-16241
2017-07-17236
2017-07-18233
2017-07-19215
2017-07-20208
2017-07-21200
2017-07-22201
2017-07-23191
2017-07-24191
2017-07-25194
2017-07-26187
2017-07-27189
2017-07-28197
2017-07-29197
2017-07-30193
2017-07-31182



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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