McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 18 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-191476Daily Model Output (20170618)
2017-06-201324
2017-06-211230
2017-06-221130
2017-06-231025
2017-06-24917
2017-06-25814
2017-06-26722
2017-06-27657
2017-06-28608
2017-06-29555ESP Model Output (20170617)
2017-06-30516
2017-07-01484
2017-07-02456
2017-07-03430
2017-07-04408
2017-07-05387
2017-07-06367
2017-07-07348
2017-07-08331
2017-07-09315
2017-07-10300
2017-07-11286
2017-07-12272
2017-07-13261
2017-07-14261
2017-07-15254
2017-07-16235
2017-07-17233
2017-07-18225
2017-07-19214
2017-07-20206
2017-07-21197
2017-07-22192
2017-07-23189
2017-07-24191
2017-07-25193
2017-07-26187
2017-07-27189
2017-07-28194
2017-07-29196
2017-07-30193
2017-07-31183



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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