McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-211558Daily Model Output (20170620)
2017-06-221451
2017-06-231260
2017-06-241080
2017-06-25929
2017-06-26814
2017-06-27731
2017-06-28667
2017-06-29617
2017-06-30577
2017-07-01520ESP Model Output (20170619)
2017-07-02488
2017-07-03460
2017-07-04434
2017-07-05411
2017-07-06389
2017-07-07369
2017-07-08351
2017-07-09333
2017-07-10317
2017-07-11301
2017-07-12287
2017-07-13274
2017-07-14273
2017-07-15265
2017-07-16246
2017-07-17242
2017-07-18234
2017-07-19222
2017-07-20213
2017-07-21204
2017-07-22197
2017-07-23196
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25198
2017-07-26192
2017-07-27194
2017-07-28199
2017-07-29203
2017-07-30197
2017-07-31186



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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