McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-221300Daily Model Output (20170621)
2017-06-231214
2017-06-241053
2017-06-25923
2017-06-26814
2017-06-27736
2017-06-28667
2017-06-29616
2017-06-30574
2017-07-01540
2017-07-02493ESP Model Output (20170620)
2017-07-03464
2017-07-04438
2017-07-05414
2017-07-06392
2017-07-07374
2017-07-08355
2017-07-09337
2017-07-10321
2017-07-11305
2017-07-12291
2017-07-13277
2017-07-14276
2017-07-15268
2017-07-16249
2017-07-17244
2017-07-18237
2017-07-19224
2017-07-20216
2017-07-21207
2017-07-22200
2017-07-23198
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25200
2017-07-26194
2017-07-27196
2017-07-28200
2017-07-29206
2017-07-30198
2017-07-31187



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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