McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 22 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-231171Daily Model Output (20170622)
2017-06-241040
2017-06-25933
2017-06-26827
2017-06-27748
2017-06-28687
2017-06-29631
2017-06-30589
2017-07-01553
2017-07-02522
2017-07-03464ESP Model Output (20170621)
2017-07-04438
2017-07-05415
2017-07-06393
2017-07-07372
2017-07-08353
2017-07-09336
2017-07-10320
2017-07-11305
2017-07-12290
2017-07-13277
2017-07-14277
2017-07-15263
2017-07-16249
2017-07-17238
2017-07-18234
2017-07-19222
2017-07-20213
2017-07-21206
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23192
2017-07-24197
2017-07-25198
2017-07-26194
2017-07-27195
2017-07-28197
2017-07-29199
2017-07-30198
2017-07-31187



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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