McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 23 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-241040Daily Model Output (20170623)
2017-06-25933
2017-06-26827
2017-06-27748
2017-06-28687
2017-06-29631
2017-06-30589
2017-07-01553
2017-07-02522
2017-07-03-9999000
2017-07-04437ESP Model Output (20170622)
2017-07-05414
2017-07-06392
2017-07-07372
2017-07-08353
2017-07-09335
2017-07-10319
2017-07-11303
2017-07-12289
2017-07-13276
2017-07-14264
2017-07-15252
2017-07-16244
2017-07-17235
2017-07-18232
2017-07-19219
2017-07-20212
2017-07-21205
2017-07-22198
2017-07-23192
2017-07-24194
2017-07-25198
2017-07-26194
2017-07-27195
2017-07-28196
2017-07-29199
2017-07-30198
2017-07-31187



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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