McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-26837Daily Model Output (20170625)
2017-06-27777
2017-06-28708
2017-06-29641
2017-06-30593
2017-07-01555
2017-07-02522
2017-07-03494
2017-07-04468
2017-07-05445
2017-07-06392ESP Model Output (20170624)
2017-07-07372
2017-07-08353
2017-07-09335
2017-07-10318
2017-07-11303
2017-07-12289
2017-07-13275
2017-07-14263
2017-07-15251
2017-07-16240
2017-07-17232
2017-07-18224
2017-07-19215
2017-07-20206
2017-07-21199
2017-07-22195
2017-07-23190
2017-07-24184
2017-07-25198
2017-07-26194
2017-07-27194
2017-07-28191
2017-07-29193
2017-07-30197
2017-07-31186



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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