McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: July 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-07-05339Daily Model Output (20170704)
2017-07-06330
2017-07-07314
2017-07-08301
2017-07-09289
2017-07-10278
2017-07-11268
2017-07-12259
2017-07-13251
2017-07-14244
2017-07-15251ESP Model Output (20170703)
2017-07-16241
2017-07-17232
2017-07-18224
2017-07-19215
2017-07-20206
2017-07-21198
2017-07-22192
2017-07-23188
2017-07-24184
2017-07-25197
2017-07-26184
2017-07-27188
2017-07-28178
2017-07-29172
2017-07-30190
2017-07-31182



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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