McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: July 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-07-06312Daily Model Output (20170705)
2017-07-07301
2017-07-08287
2017-07-09274
2017-07-10264
2017-07-11253
2017-07-12244
2017-07-13236
2017-07-14229
2017-07-15222
2017-07-16240ESP Model Output (20170704)
2017-07-17230
2017-07-18222
2017-07-19213
2017-07-20205
2017-07-21197
2017-07-22191
2017-07-23188
2017-07-24184
2017-07-25190
2017-07-26182
2017-07-27187
2017-07-28177
2017-07-29169
2017-07-30189
2017-07-31183



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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