McPhee Reservoir Inflow
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 24 2018

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2018-05-25215Daily Model Output (20180524)
2018-05-26216
2018-05-27216
2018-05-28207
2018-05-29191
2018-05-30183
2018-05-31177
2018-06-01169
2018-06-02161
2018-06-03153
2018-06-04146
2018-06-05140
2018-06-06134
2018-06-07128
2018-06-08123
2018-06-09118ESP Model Output (20180523)
2018-06-10113
2018-06-11109
2018-06-12105
2018-06-13101
2018-06-1497
2018-06-1593
2018-06-1690
2018-06-1787
2018-06-1884
2018-06-1981
2018-06-2078
2018-06-2175
2018-06-2273
2018-06-2370
2018-06-2468
2018-06-2566
2018-06-2664
2018-06-2762
2018-06-2860
2018-06-2958
2018-06-3057
2018-07-0155
2018-07-0254
2018-07-0352
2018-07-0451
2018-07-0549
2018-07-0648
2018-07-0747
2018-07-0846
2018-07-0945
2018-07-1044
2018-07-1143
2018-07-1242
2018-07-1342
2018-07-1443
2018-07-1545
2018-07-1641
2018-07-1748
2018-07-1849
2018-07-1945
2018-07-2045
2018-07-2145
2018-07-2246
2018-07-2345
2018-07-2452
2018-07-2553
2018-07-2656
2018-07-2754
2018-07-2859
2018-07-2960
2018-07-3072
2018-07-3164



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-15 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 15 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes so there is increasing uncertainty
past days 3-5.
- Days 16 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model. Some possible reasons are:
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs; diversions; etc.) above the
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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