Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-062870Daily Model Output
2017-05-073246
2017-05-085546
2017-05-097421
2017-05-107369
2017-05-117324
2017-05-127578
2017-05-137031
2017-05-146816
2017-05-157468
2017-05-168296ESP Model Output
2017-05-178595
2017-05-188171
2017-05-198584
2017-05-208717
2017-05-218536
2017-05-228327
2017-05-238455
2017-05-248373
2017-05-258454
2017-05-268237
2017-05-278189
2017-05-287828
2017-05-297940
2017-05-307773
2017-05-317527
2017-06-017157
2017-06-027244
2017-06-036779
2017-06-046822
2017-06-056936
2017-06-066917
2017-06-076960
2017-06-086829
2017-06-096473
2017-06-106299
2017-06-116541
2017-06-126156
2017-06-135743
2017-06-145404
2017-06-155289
2017-06-165140
2017-06-174865
2017-06-184667
2017-06-194377
2017-06-204237
2017-06-213990
2017-06-223779
2017-06-233633
2017-06-243575
2017-06-253388
2017-06-263055
2017-06-272848
2017-06-282912
2017-06-292611
2017-06-302408
2017-07-012202
2017-07-022305
2017-07-032121
2017-07-041876
2017-07-051686
2017-07-061645
2017-07-071469
2017-07-081384
2017-07-091320
2017-07-101244
2017-07-111152
2017-07-121082
2017-07-131014
2017-07-14959
2017-07-15908
2017-07-16869
2017-07-17827
2017-07-18777
2017-07-19733
2017-07-20698
2017-07-21678
2017-07-22655
2017-07-23621
2017-07-24593
2017-07-25567
2017-07-26550
2017-07-27539
2017-07-28523
2017-07-29507
2017-07-30491
2017-07-31472
2017-08-01459
2017-08-02448
2017-08-03450
2017-08-04435
2017-08-05422
2017-08-06417
2017-08-07413
2017-08-08408
2017-08-09408
2017-08-10398
2017-08-11396
2017-08-12385
2017-08-13379
2017-08-14379
2017-08-15380
2017-08-16373
2017-08-17364
2017-08-18360
2017-08-19354
2017-08-20354
2017-08-21352
2017-08-22339
2017-08-23352
2017-08-24354
2017-08-25347
2017-08-26344
2017-08-27337
2017-08-28332
2017-08-29323
2017-08-30317
2017-08-31312
2017-09-01310
2017-09-02304
2017-09-03300
2017-09-04299
2017-09-05290
2017-09-06285
2017-09-07283
2017-09-08280
2017-09-09272
2017-09-10272
2017-09-11268
2017-09-12264
2017-09-13263
2017-09-14262
2017-09-15258
2017-09-16257
2017-09-17256
2017-09-18247
2017-09-19244
2017-09-20252
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22276
2017-09-23274
2017-09-24284
2017-09-25286
2017-09-26284
2017-09-27281
2017-09-28289
2017-09-29290
2017-09-30297



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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