Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-073211Daily Model Output
2017-05-084685
2017-05-097262
2017-05-107664
2017-05-117200
2017-05-127195
2017-05-137413
2017-05-147200
2017-05-157506
2017-05-167917
2017-05-178443ESP Model Output
2017-05-188438
2017-05-198773
2017-05-208612
2017-05-218731
2017-05-228454
2017-05-238611
2017-05-248517
2017-05-258624
2017-05-268214
2017-05-278322
2017-05-287879
2017-05-298077
2017-05-307965
2017-05-317710
2017-06-017224
2017-06-027357
2017-06-036958
2017-06-046904
2017-06-056949
2017-06-066903
2017-06-077051
2017-06-086899
2017-06-096572
2017-06-106287
2017-06-116431
2017-06-126133
2017-06-135849
2017-06-145464
2017-06-155312
2017-06-165087
2017-06-174738
2017-06-184642
2017-06-194403
2017-06-204310
2017-06-214112
2017-06-223797
2017-06-233664
2017-06-243530
2017-06-253405
2017-06-263141
2017-06-272949
2017-06-282834
2017-06-292642
2017-06-302450
2017-07-012219
2017-07-022293
2017-07-032144
2017-07-041913
2017-07-051744
2017-07-061609
2017-07-071459
2017-07-081399
2017-07-091296
2017-07-101244
2017-07-111142
2017-07-121077
2017-07-131014
2017-07-14959
2017-07-15917
2017-07-16858
2017-07-17814
2017-07-18768
2017-07-19739
2017-07-20704
2017-07-21676
2017-07-22648
2017-07-23627
2017-07-24599
2017-07-25570
2017-07-26552
2017-07-27535
2017-07-28522
2017-07-29505
2017-07-30489
2017-07-31476
2017-08-01459
2017-08-02445
2017-08-03447
2017-08-04438
2017-08-05424
2017-08-06419
2017-08-07415
2017-08-08408
2017-08-09410
2017-08-10400
2017-08-11398
2017-08-12386
2017-08-13380
2017-08-14378
2017-08-15380
2017-08-16370
2017-08-17364
2017-08-18359
2017-08-19354
2017-08-20354
2017-08-21351
2017-08-22341
2017-08-23352
2017-08-24355
2017-08-25348
2017-08-26344
2017-08-27337
2017-08-28333
2017-08-29325
2017-08-30318
2017-08-31312
2017-09-01310
2017-09-02305
2017-09-03300
2017-09-04300
2017-09-05291
2017-09-06285
2017-09-07282
2017-09-08279
2017-09-09273
2017-09-10270
2017-09-11269
2017-09-12265
2017-09-13263
2017-09-14258
2017-09-15259
2017-09-16257
2017-09-17256
2017-09-18248
2017-09-19243
2017-09-20253
2017-09-21253
2017-09-22277
2017-09-23274
2017-09-24283
2017-09-25285
2017-09-26286
2017-09-27281
2017-09-28290
2017-09-29292
2017-09-30296



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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