Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 07 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-084606Daily Model Output
2017-05-096155
2017-05-107419
2017-05-117269
2017-05-127772
2017-05-138260
2017-05-147774
2017-05-157822
2017-05-168328
2017-05-178535
2017-05-189070ESP Model Output
2017-05-198846
2017-05-208849
2017-05-218688
2017-05-228568
2017-05-238660
2017-05-248600
2017-05-258510
2017-05-268313
2017-05-278232
2017-05-287915
2017-05-298102
2017-05-308000
2017-05-317679
2017-06-017266
2017-06-027261
2017-06-036955
2017-06-046858
2017-06-056941
2017-06-066726
2017-06-076889
2017-06-086788
2017-06-096450
2017-06-106066
2017-06-116215
2017-06-126115
2017-06-135746
2017-06-145435
2017-06-155076
2017-06-164904
2017-06-174610
2017-06-184494
2017-06-194296
2017-06-204276
2017-06-214070
2017-06-223671
2017-06-233508
2017-06-243469
2017-06-253300
2017-06-263163
2017-06-272921
2017-06-282774
2017-06-292665
2017-06-302473
2017-07-012243
2017-07-022222
2017-07-032063
2017-07-041799
2017-07-051686
2017-07-061648
2017-07-071496
2017-07-081402
2017-07-091298
2017-07-101212
2017-07-111093
2017-07-121039
2017-07-13967
2017-07-14910
2017-07-15882
2017-07-16819
2017-07-17777
2017-07-18739
2017-07-19717
2017-07-20686
2017-07-21660
2017-07-22642
2017-07-23626
2017-07-24599
2017-07-25568
2017-07-26553
2017-07-27532
2017-07-28510
2017-07-29494
2017-07-30479
2017-07-31471
2017-08-01451
2017-08-02437
2017-08-03440
2017-08-04436
2017-08-05423
2017-08-06415
2017-08-07409
2017-08-08404
2017-08-09406
2017-08-10396
2017-08-11394
2017-08-12385
2017-08-13377
2017-08-14373
2017-08-15377
2017-08-16367
2017-08-17361
2017-08-18355
2017-08-19351
2017-08-20350
2017-08-21348
2017-08-22338
2017-08-23348
2017-08-24352
2017-08-25345
2017-08-26341
2017-08-27335
2017-08-28331
2017-08-29323
2017-08-30315
2017-08-31310
2017-09-01306
2017-09-02302
2017-09-03298
2017-09-04297
2017-09-05289
2017-09-06283
2017-09-07280
2017-09-08277
2017-09-09271
2017-09-10268
2017-09-11268
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13261
2017-09-14258
2017-09-15258
2017-09-16253
2017-09-17253
2017-09-18245
2017-09-19241
2017-09-20251
2017-09-21251
2017-09-22275
2017-09-23273
2017-09-24281
2017-09-25284
2017-09-26284
2017-09-27278
2017-09-28288
2017-09-29288
2017-09-30294



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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