Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 08 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-096248Daily Model Output
2017-05-107503
2017-05-117870
2017-05-128159
2017-05-138262
2017-05-147747
2017-05-157994
2017-05-168413
2017-05-178305
2017-05-187901
2017-05-199445ESP Model Output
2017-05-209105
2017-05-218949
2017-05-228666
2017-05-238777
2017-05-248644
2017-05-258543
2017-05-268492
2017-05-278217
2017-05-287920
2017-05-298087
2017-05-307949
2017-05-317629
2017-06-017052
2017-06-027033
2017-06-036823
2017-06-046536
2017-06-056829
2017-06-066722
2017-06-076558
2017-06-086499
2017-06-096231
2017-06-105761
2017-06-115838
2017-06-125875
2017-06-135537
2017-06-145318
2017-06-154971
2017-06-164635
2017-06-174318
2017-06-184321
2017-06-193996
2017-06-204045
2017-06-213833
2017-06-223527
2017-06-233402
2017-06-243287
2017-06-253109
2017-06-263022
2017-06-272848
2017-06-282690
2017-06-292599
2017-06-302485
2017-07-012265
2017-07-022120
2017-07-031891
2017-07-041638
2017-07-051607
2017-07-061635
2017-07-071503
2017-07-081388
2017-07-091264
2017-07-101156
2017-07-111071
2017-07-121009
2017-07-13951
2017-07-14910
2017-07-15854
2017-07-16814
2017-07-17779
2017-07-18741
2017-07-19706
2017-07-20677
2017-07-21650
2017-07-22622
2017-07-23619
2017-07-24586
2017-07-25559
2017-07-26544
2017-07-27529
2017-07-28502
2017-07-29484
2017-07-30469
2017-07-31465
2017-08-01447
2017-08-02428
2017-08-03429
2017-08-04427
2017-08-05419
2017-08-06412
2017-08-07407
2017-08-08402
2017-08-09395
2017-08-10386
2017-08-11390
2017-08-12381
2017-08-13375
2017-08-14369
2017-08-15371
2017-08-16365
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18352
2017-08-19349
2017-08-20345
2017-08-21342
2017-08-22334
2017-08-23344
2017-08-24348
2017-08-25340
2017-08-26337
2017-08-27330
2017-08-28326
2017-08-29320
2017-08-30312
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01303
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03294
2017-09-04295
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06282
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08274
2017-09-09268
2017-09-10267
2017-09-11265
2017-09-12261
2017-09-13256
2017-09-14257
2017-09-15255
2017-09-16252
2017-09-17250
2017-09-18242
2017-09-19239
2017-09-20250
2017-09-21250
2017-09-22274
2017-09-23272
2017-09-24277
2017-09-25282
2017-09-26282
2017-09-27276
2017-09-28285
2017-09-29284
2017-09-30290



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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