Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 11 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-128714Daily Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-138414
2017-05-148526
2017-05-159362
2017-05-169539
2017-05-178802
2017-05-187957
2017-05-196898
2017-05-206565
2017-05-216040
2017-05-227176ESP Model Output (20170510)
2017-05-237055
2017-05-247633
2017-05-257692
2017-05-267642
2017-05-277418
2017-05-287435
2017-05-297528
2017-05-307241
2017-05-317147
2017-06-016803
2017-06-026907
2017-06-036530
2017-06-046422
2017-06-056409
2017-06-066447
2017-06-076438
2017-06-086208
2017-06-096147
2017-06-105806
2017-06-115707
2017-06-125887
2017-06-135264
2017-06-145072
2017-06-154889
2017-06-164460
2017-06-174157
2017-06-184057
2017-06-193814
2017-06-203757
2017-06-213709
2017-06-223591
2017-06-233372
2017-06-243113
2017-06-252914
2017-06-262867
2017-06-272737
2017-06-282562
2017-06-292498
2017-06-302357
2017-07-012191
2017-07-022001
2017-07-031757
2017-07-041586
2017-07-051558
2017-07-061503
2017-07-071410
2017-07-081320
2017-07-091223
2017-07-101117
2017-07-111036
2017-07-12986
2017-07-13929
2017-07-14881
2017-07-15836
2017-07-16789
2017-07-17749
2017-07-18719
2017-07-19693
2017-07-20664
2017-07-21633
2017-07-22603
2017-07-23581
2017-07-24564
2017-07-25542
2017-07-26523
2017-07-27507
2017-07-28493
2017-07-29475
2017-07-30458
2017-07-31446
2017-08-01431
2017-08-02419
2017-08-03421
2017-08-04422
2017-08-05407
2017-08-06407
2017-08-07403
2017-08-08396
2017-08-09386
2017-08-10381
2017-08-11382
2017-08-12373
2017-08-13370
2017-08-14364
2017-08-15365
2017-08-16359
2017-08-17350
2017-08-18348
2017-08-19344
2017-08-20343
2017-08-21336
2017-08-22325
2017-08-23341
2017-08-24344
2017-08-25338
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27325
2017-08-28322
2017-08-29315
2017-08-30308
2017-08-31304
2017-09-01298
2017-09-02294
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04286
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10264
2017-09-11263
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14253
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16252
2017-09-17246
2017-09-18238
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20249
2017-09-21249
2017-09-22272
2017-09-23270
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25279
2017-09-26280
2017-09-27272
2017-09-28283
2017-09-29281
2017-09-30284



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
download csv