Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 12 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-138461Daily Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-148759
2017-05-159561
2017-05-169886
2017-05-179225
2017-05-188477
2017-05-197094
2017-05-206124
2017-05-215256
2017-05-224426
2017-05-235571ESP Model Output (20170511)
2017-05-245934
2017-05-256872
2017-05-267181
2017-05-277085
2017-05-287124
2017-05-297172
2017-05-307052
2017-05-316902
2017-06-016455
2017-06-026766
2017-06-036539
2017-06-046427
2017-06-056512
2017-06-066433
2017-06-076510
2017-06-086331
2017-06-096274
2017-06-105791
2017-06-115825
2017-06-125946
2017-06-135304
2017-06-145087
2017-06-154917
2017-06-164541
2017-06-174257
2017-06-184142
2017-06-193961
2017-06-203737
2017-06-213659
2017-06-223645
2017-06-233304
2017-06-243143
2017-06-252951
2017-06-262913
2017-06-272817
2017-06-282600
2017-06-292480
2017-06-302415
2017-07-012233
2017-07-022054
2017-07-031829
2017-07-041611
2017-07-051574
2017-07-061479
2017-07-071426
2017-07-081333
2017-07-091231
2017-07-101124
2017-07-111051
2017-07-121008
2017-07-13956
2017-07-14896
2017-07-15847
2017-07-16802
2017-07-17765
2017-07-18730
2017-07-19693
2017-07-20656
2017-07-21626
2017-07-22597
2017-07-23582
2017-07-24562
2017-07-25540
2017-07-26524
2017-07-27504
2017-07-28491
2017-07-29473
2017-07-30459
2017-07-31444
2017-08-01430
2017-08-02421
2017-08-03421
2017-08-04423
2017-08-05407
2017-08-06407
2017-08-07403
2017-08-08397
2017-08-09387
2017-08-10384
2017-08-11383
2017-08-12374
2017-08-13371
2017-08-14365
2017-08-15365
2017-08-16359
2017-08-17349
2017-08-18349
2017-08-19346
2017-08-20342
2017-08-21335
2017-08-22324
2017-08-23340
2017-08-24345
2017-08-25337
2017-08-26331
2017-08-27324
2017-08-28321
2017-08-29315
2017-08-30307
2017-08-31303
2017-09-01298
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03288
2017-09-04285
2017-09-05281
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10263
2017-09-11262
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14253
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16251
2017-09-17246
2017-09-18238
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20249
2017-09-21248
2017-09-22272
2017-09-23270
2017-09-24272
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26279
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28283
2017-09-29280
2017-09-30284



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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