Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 13 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-148762Daily Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-159749
2017-05-1610008
2017-05-179262
2017-05-188460
2017-05-197143
2017-05-206626
2017-05-215674
2017-05-224682
2017-05-234145
2017-05-244407ESP Model Output (20170512)
2017-05-255544
2017-05-266384
2017-05-276762
2017-05-286757
2017-05-296825
2017-05-306799
2017-05-316666
2017-06-016418
2017-06-026780
2017-06-036604
2017-06-046485
2017-06-056520
2017-06-066629
2017-06-076736
2017-06-086570
2017-06-096543
2017-06-106001
2017-06-116064
2017-06-126178
2017-06-135399
2017-06-145228
2017-06-154917
2017-06-164727
2017-06-174415
2017-06-184223
2017-06-194123
2017-06-203854
2017-06-213724
2017-06-223752
2017-06-233425
2017-06-243208
2017-06-253015
2017-06-262965
2017-06-272955
2017-06-282717
2017-06-292595
2017-06-302527
2017-07-012325
2017-07-022129
2017-07-031920
2017-07-041677
2017-07-051627
2017-07-061562
2017-07-071482
2017-07-081382
2017-07-091273
2017-07-101160
2017-07-111082
2017-07-121020
2017-07-13973
2017-07-14924
2017-07-15873
2017-07-16821
2017-07-17785
2017-07-18748
2017-07-19708
2017-07-20674
2017-07-21639
2017-07-22608
2017-07-23592
2017-07-24570
2017-07-25548
2017-07-26531
2017-07-27510
2017-07-28496
2017-07-29476
2017-07-30462
2017-07-31448
2017-08-01435
2017-08-02425
2017-08-03424
2017-08-04417
2017-08-05409
2017-08-06409
2017-08-07406
2017-08-08399
2017-08-09392
2017-08-10388
2017-08-11384
2017-08-12375
2017-08-13369
2017-08-14367
2017-08-15366
2017-08-16359
2017-08-17349
2017-08-18351
2017-08-19346
2017-08-20341
2017-08-21335
2017-08-22324
2017-08-23340
2017-08-24344
2017-08-25337
2017-08-26331
2017-08-27323
2017-08-28322
2017-08-29315
2017-08-30307
2017-08-31302
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04285
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09263
2017-09-10263
2017-09-11261
2017-09-12259
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14253
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16251
2017-09-17245
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20249
2017-09-21248
2017-09-22272
2017-09-23270
2017-09-24271
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26278
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28283
2017-09-29280
2017-09-30284



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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