Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 14 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-159798Daily Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-1610878
2017-05-1710738
2017-05-189636
2017-05-197953
2017-05-206792
2017-05-215730
2017-05-224872
2017-05-234541
2017-05-244956
2017-05-255053ESP Model Output (20170513)
2017-05-265920
2017-05-276647
2017-05-286651
2017-05-296747
2017-05-306785
2017-05-316700
2017-06-016517
2017-06-026869
2017-06-036497
2017-06-046545
2017-06-056584
2017-06-066807
2017-06-076822
2017-06-086788
2017-06-096572
2017-06-106185
2017-06-116247
2017-06-126235
2017-06-135650
2017-06-145381
2017-06-154958
2017-06-164864
2017-06-174556
2017-06-184346
2017-06-194254
2017-06-204013
2017-06-213881
2017-06-223874
2017-06-233404
2017-06-243323
2017-06-253143
2017-06-263068
2017-06-272980
2017-06-282864
2017-06-292742
2017-06-302534
2017-07-012348
2017-07-022162
2017-07-031930
2017-07-041723
2017-07-051627
2017-07-061654
2017-07-071526
2017-07-081395
2017-07-091283
2017-07-101183
2017-07-111103
2017-07-121041
2017-07-13980
2017-07-14931
2017-07-15898
2017-07-16848
2017-07-17805
2017-07-18761
2017-07-19722
2017-07-20691
2017-07-21662
2017-07-22629
2017-07-23608
2017-07-24586
2017-07-25563
2017-07-26543
2017-07-27524
2017-07-28504
2017-07-29483
2017-07-30471
2017-07-31458
2017-08-01440
2017-08-02430
2017-08-03426
2017-08-04419
2017-08-05413
2017-08-06411
2017-08-07407
2017-08-08400
2017-08-09398
2017-08-10394
2017-08-11389
2017-08-12379
2017-08-13371
2017-08-14369
2017-08-15368
2017-08-16359
2017-08-17352
2017-08-18351
2017-08-19348
2017-08-20343
2017-08-21336
2017-08-22326
2017-08-23342
2017-08-24344
2017-08-25339
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27324
2017-08-28323
2017-08-29316
2017-08-30309
2017-08-31304
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02295
2017-09-03288
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05282
2017-09-06276
2017-09-07274
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09265
2017-09-10263
2017-09-11262
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13254
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16252
2017-09-17246
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20249
2017-09-21249
2017-09-22273
2017-09-23271
2017-09-24271
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26280
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28283
2017-09-29281
2017-09-30284



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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