Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 15 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-1610715Daily Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-1710373
2017-05-189718
2017-05-198203
2017-05-206692
2017-05-215570
2017-05-224762
2017-05-234399
2017-05-245081
2017-05-256032
2017-05-266602ESP Model Output (20170514)
2017-05-277102
2017-05-287105
2017-05-297262
2017-05-307212
2017-05-317274
2017-06-017115
2017-06-027295
2017-06-036701
2017-06-047009
2017-06-056821
2017-06-067195
2017-06-076986
2017-06-087168
2017-06-096960
2017-06-106502
2017-06-116501
2017-06-126507
2017-06-135905
2017-06-145479
2017-06-155148
2017-06-164990
2017-06-174671
2017-06-184445
2017-06-194342
2017-06-204179
2017-06-214075
2017-06-223957
2017-06-233504
2017-06-243324
2017-06-253239
2017-06-263193
2017-06-273076
2017-06-282952
2017-06-292741
2017-06-302497
2017-07-012333
2017-07-022145
2017-07-031936
2017-07-041700
2017-07-051631
2017-07-061644
2017-07-071515
2017-07-081395
2017-07-091297
2017-07-101181
2017-07-111105
2017-07-121039
2017-07-13980
2017-07-14927
2017-07-15897
2017-07-16847
2017-07-17804
2017-07-18759
2017-07-19723
2017-07-20692
2017-07-21664
2017-07-22633
2017-07-23615
2017-07-24590
2017-07-25566
2017-07-26546
2017-07-27527
2017-07-28508
2017-07-29489
2017-07-30472
2017-07-31460
2017-08-01444
2017-08-02431
2017-08-03429
2017-08-04424
2017-08-05412
2017-08-06410
2017-08-07406
2017-08-08398
2017-08-09402
2017-08-10398
2017-08-11392
2017-08-12382
2017-08-13375
2017-08-14371
2017-08-15371
2017-08-16362
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18353
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20345
2017-08-21338
2017-08-22329
2017-08-23343
2017-08-24346
2017-08-25339
2017-08-26334
2017-08-27327
2017-08-28325
2017-08-29318
2017-08-30311
2017-08-31306
2017-09-01300
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08271
2017-09-09267
2017-09-10264
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13254
2017-09-14256
2017-09-15254
2017-09-16254
2017-09-17248
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19241
2017-09-20252
2017-09-21251
2017-09-22275
2017-09-23273
2017-09-24273
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26282
2017-09-27272
2017-09-28286
2017-09-29283
2017-09-30286



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
download csv