Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 16 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-1710051Daily Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-189619
2017-05-198662
2017-05-207071
2017-05-215775
2017-05-224910
2017-05-234562
2017-05-245320
2017-05-255957
2017-05-265908
2017-05-277603ESP Model Output (20170515)
2017-05-287414
2017-05-297711
2017-05-307772
2017-05-317830
2017-06-017664
2017-06-027590
2017-06-037106
2017-06-047347
2017-06-057177
2017-06-067401
2017-06-077307
2017-06-087449
2017-06-097256
2017-06-106716
2017-06-116747
2017-06-126656
2017-06-136190
2017-06-145653
2017-06-155298
2017-06-165092
2017-06-174746
2017-06-184591
2017-06-194458
2017-06-204273
2017-06-214252
2017-06-224004
2017-06-233559
2017-06-243453
2017-06-253337
2017-06-263319
2017-06-273195
2017-06-282971
2017-06-292758
2017-06-302516
2017-07-012327
2017-07-022152
2017-07-031984
2017-07-041743
2017-07-051649
2017-07-061669
2017-07-071533
2017-07-081424
2017-07-091314
2017-07-101196
2017-07-111106
2017-07-121050
2017-07-13989
2017-07-14936
2017-07-15900
2017-07-16857
2017-07-17807
2017-07-18766
2017-07-19728
2017-07-20697
2017-07-21669
2017-07-22638
2017-07-23617
2017-07-24596
2017-07-25572
2017-07-26551
2017-07-27532
2017-07-28511
2017-07-29490
2017-07-30477
2017-07-31464
2017-08-01448
2017-08-02435
2017-08-03432
2017-08-04422
2017-08-05412
2017-08-06411
2017-08-07407
2017-08-08399
2017-08-09400
2017-08-10401
2017-08-11396
2017-08-12384
2017-08-13378
2017-08-14372
2017-08-15372
2017-08-16364
2017-08-17359
2017-08-18355
2017-08-19352
2017-08-20347
2017-08-21339
2017-08-22330
2017-08-23345
2017-08-24347
2017-08-25340
2017-08-26336
2017-08-27328
2017-08-28327
2017-08-29320
2017-08-30313
2017-08-31307
2017-09-01301
2017-09-02298
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04289
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08273
2017-09-09268
2017-09-10265
2017-09-11265
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13255
2017-09-14258
2017-09-15255
2017-09-16255
2017-09-17249
2017-09-18238
2017-09-19242
2017-09-20252
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22276
2017-09-23274
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26283
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28287
2017-09-29284
2017-09-30287



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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