Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 17 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-189351Daily Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-198718
2017-05-207494
2017-05-216076
2017-05-225125
2017-05-234702
2017-05-245536
2017-05-256449
2017-05-266334
2017-05-275954
2017-05-286527ESP Model Output (20170516)
2017-05-297206
2017-05-307358
2017-05-317562
2017-06-017418
2017-06-027240
2017-06-036748
2017-06-047086
2017-06-056986
2017-06-067092
2017-06-077062
2017-06-087116
2017-06-097094
2017-06-106741
2017-06-116561
2017-06-126564
2017-06-136101
2017-06-145529
2017-06-155340
2017-06-165047
2017-06-174702
2017-06-184557
2017-06-194451
2017-06-204261
2017-06-214005
2017-06-223873
2017-06-233545
2017-06-243474
2017-06-253293
2017-06-263129
2017-06-273046
2017-06-282849
2017-06-292682
2017-06-302431
2017-07-012227
2017-07-022103
2017-07-031991
2017-07-041688
2017-07-051628
2017-07-061577
2017-07-071444
2017-07-081349
2017-07-091273
2017-07-101160
2017-07-111083
2017-07-121020
2017-07-13963
2017-07-14912
2017-07-15884
2017-07-16840
2017-07-17797
2017-07-18755
2017-07-19713
2017-07-20683
2017-07-21660
2017-07-22639
2017-07-23616
2017-07-24591
2017-07-25562
2017-07-26545
2017-07-27522
2017-07-28504
2017-07-29489
2017-07-30470
2017-07-31464
2017-08-01448
2017-08-02435
2017-08-03427
2017-08-04418
2017-08-05411
2017-08-06406
2017-08-07402
2017-08-08394
2017-08-09393
2017-08-10394
2017-08-11392
2017-08-12382
2017-08-13377
2017-08-14370
2017-08-15363
2017-08-16361
2017-08-17355
2017-08-18354
2017-08-19346
2017-08-20342
2017-08-21336
2017-08-22328
2017-08-23344
2017-08-24347
2017-08-25340
2017-08-26333
2017-08-27327
2017-08-28327
2017-08-29319
2017-08-30312
2017-08-31305
2017-09-01300
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03291
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08271
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10265
2017-09-11263
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13255
2017-09-14257
2017-09-15250
2017-09-16254
2017-09-17248
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20252
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22276
2017-09-23274
2017-09-24273
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26283
2017-09-27273
2017-09-28287
2017-09-29283
2017-09-30286



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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