Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 18 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-198492Daily Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-207487
2017-05-216055
2017-05-225075
2017-05-234612
2017-05-245577
2017-05-257126
2017-05-267279
2017-05-276925
2017-05-286886
2017-05-297399ESP Model Output (20170517)
2017-05-307608
2017-05-317719
2017-06-017582
2017-06-027406
2017-06-037036
2017-06-047192
2017-06-057182
2017-06-067446
2017-06-077315
2017-06-087430
2017-06-097274
2017-06-106885
2017-06-116894
2017-06-126756
2017-06-136340
2017-06-145901
2017-06-155702
2017-06-165358
2017-06-174954
2017-06-184772
2017-06-194658
2017-06-204380
2017-06-214198
2017-06-223956
2017-06-233627
2017-06-243694
2017-06-253460
2017-06-263228
2017-06-273088
2017-06-282953
2017-06-292765
2017-06-302509
2017-07-012335
2017-07-022176
2017-07-032039
2017-07-041766
2017-07-051687
2017-07-061640
2017-07-071512
2017-07-081372
2017-07-091283
2017-07-101180
2017-07-111102
2017-07-121051
2017-07-13988
2017-07-14925
2017-07-15884
2017-07-16865
2017-07-17822
2017-07-18771
2017-07-19729
2017-07-20698
2017-07-21673
2017-07-22641
2017-07-23615
2017-07-24589
2017-07-25565
2017-07-26545
2017-07-27530
2017-07-28515
2017-07-29494
2017-07-30485
2017-07-31473
2017-08-01457
2017-08-02441
2017-08-03434
2017-08-04424
2017-08-05416
2017-08-06411
2017-08-07404
2017-08-08397
2017-08-09397
2017-08-10396
2017-08-11392
2017-08-12384
2017-08-13378
2017-08-14371
2017-08-15365
2017-08-16360
2017-08-17357
2017-08-18352
2017-08-19348
2017-08-20344
2017-08-21337
2017-08-22330
2017-08-23345
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25342
2017-08-26334
2017-08-27329
2017-08-28329
2017-08-29322
2017-08-30313
2017-08-31307
2017-09-01302
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03292
2017-09-04290
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09265
2017-09-10265
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12259
2017-09-13256
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16254
2017-09-17249
2017-09-18238
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20252
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22278
2017-09-23275
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25279
2017-09-26285
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28287
2017-09-29284
2017-09-30287



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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