Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 19 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-207762Daily Model Output (20170519)
2017-05-216691
2017-05-225727
2017-05-235156
2017-05-245781
2017-05-256653
2017-05-266647
2017-05-276661
2017-05-287018
2017-05-297760
2017-05-307406ESP Model Output (20170518)
2017-05-317423
2017-06-017574
2017-06-027315
2017-06-037221
2017-06-047291
2017-06-057285
2017-06-067602
2017-06-077391
2017-06-087512
2017-06-097404
2017-06-106984
2017-06-116867
2017-06-126800
2017-06-136442
2017-06-145974
2017-06-155794
2017-06-165419
2017-06-174990
2017-06-184825
2017-06-194625
2017-06-204474
2017-06-214195
2017-06-224095
2017-06-233671
2017-06-243740
2017-06-253477
2017-06-263284
2017-06-273072
2017-06-282962
2017-06-292759
2017-06-302524
2017-07-012375
2017-07-022263
2017-07-032130
2017-07-041814
2017-07-051698
2017-07-061680
2017-07-071533
2017-07-081397
2017-07-091284
2017-07-101194
2017-07-111120
2017-07-121078
2017-07-131027
2017-07-14945
2017-07-15894
2017-07-16861
2017-07-17816
2017-07-18769
2017-07-19731
2017-07-20699
2017-07-21678
2017-07-22647
2017-07-23618
2017-07-24588
2017-07-25568
2017-07-26549
2017-07-27533
2017-07-28519
2017-07-29498
2017-07-30487
2017-07-31471
2017-08-01459
2017-08-02441
2017-08-03439
2017-08-04430
2017-08-05415
2017-08-06413
2017-08-07406
2017-08-08399
2017-08-09398
2017-08-10395
2017-08-11392
2017-08-12384
2017-08-13378
2017-08-14371
2017-08-15365
2017-08-16360
2017-08-17358
2017-08-18354
2017-08-19349
2017-08-20345
2017-08-21338
2017-08-22331
2017-08-23347
2017-08-24350
2017-08-25343
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27329
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29322
2017-08-30314
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01303
2017-09-02300
2017-09-03292
2017-09-04290
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09265
2017-09-10266
2017-09-11265
2017-09-12259
2017-09-13257
2017-09-14255
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16254
2017-09-17249
2017-09-18239
2017-09-19239
2017-09-20253
2017-09-21253
2017-09-22279
2017-09-23275
2017-09-24273
2017-09-25279
2017-09-26285
2017-09-27275
2017-09-28287
2017-09-29285
2017-09-30286



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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