Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 20 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-217059Daily Model Output (20170520)
2017-05-226391
2017-05-235657
2017-05-245654
2017-05-255963
2017-05-266175
2017-05-276990
2017-05-287492
2017-05-297362
2017-05-306863
2017-05-318998ESP Model Output (20170519)
2017-06-018563
2017-06-028049
2017-06-037717
2017-06-047702
2017-06-057594
2017-06-067838
2017-06-077475
2017-06-087613
2017-06-097379
2017-06-106942
2017-06-116801
2017-06-126796
2017-06-136391
2017-06-145849
2017-06-155638
2017-06-165279
2017-06-174927
2017-06-184693
2017-06-194349
2017-06-204303
2017-06-214049
2017-06-223874
2017-06-233579
2017-06-243568
2017-06-253343
2017-06-263106
2017-06-272883
2017-06-282769
2017-06-292594
2017-06-302375
2017-07-012252
2017-07-022147
2017-07-032031
2017-07-041763
2017-07-051646
2017-07-061615
2017-07-071474
2017-07-081354
2017-07-091228
2017-07-101131
2017-07-111059
2017-07-121037
2017-07-13991
2017-07-14917
2017-07-15886
2017-07-16838
2017-07-17785
2017-07-18752
2017-07-19713
2017-07-20681
2017-07-21664
2017-07-22627
2017-07-23599
2017-07-24576
2017-07-25556
2017-07-26540
2017-07-27525
2017-07-28512
2017-07-29491
2017-07-30479
2017-07-31465
2017-08-01450
2017-08-02437
2017-08-03434
2017-08-04420
2017-08-05406
2017-08-06406
2017-08-07402
2017-08-08397
2017-08-09394
2017-08-10390
2017-08-11390
2017-08-12379
2017-08-13372
2017-08-14366
2017-08-15360
2017-08-16356
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18353
2017-08-19349
2017-08-20346
2017-08-21337
2017-08-22331
2017-08-23347
2017-08-24350
2017-08-25342
2017-08-26336
2017-08-27329
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29322
2017-08-30315
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01304
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04291
2017-09-05286
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09265
2017-09-10266
2017-09-11266
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14256
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16255
2017-09-17250
2017-09-18240
2017-09-19240
2017-09-20254
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22280
2017-09-23276
2017-09-24273
2017-09-25281
2017-09-26286
2017-09-27275
2017-09-28287
2017-09-29286
2017-09-30285



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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