Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 21 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-226588Daily Model Output (20170521)
2017-05-236080
2017-05-245901
2017-05-256288
2017-05-266607
2017-05-277817
2017-05-288303
2017-05-297716
2017-05-306770
2017-05-316345
2017-06-016740ESP Model Output (20170520)
2017-06-026856
2017-06-037001
2017-06-047208
2017-06-057242
2017-06-067693
2017-06-077321
2017-06-087630
2017-06-097390
2017-06-106965
2017-06-116756
2017-06-126924
2017-06-136584
2017-06-145970
2017-06-155701
2017-06-165329
2017-06-174965
2017-06-184843
2017-06-194635
2017-06-204372
2017-06-214218
2017-06-223967
2017-06-233748
2017-06-243563
2017-06-253382
2017-06-263125
2017-06-272962
2017-06-282889
2017-06-292669
2017-06-302440
2017-07-012340
2017-07-022251
2017-07-032076
2017-07-041838
2017-07-051707
2017-07-061663
2017-07-071520
2017-07-081400
2017-07-091295
2017-07-101188
2017-07-111111
2017-07-121064
2017-07-13995
2017-07-14942
2017-07-15890
2017-07-16864
2017-07-17802
2017-07-18761
2017-07-19724
2017-07-20690
2017-07-21667
2017-07-22637
2017-07-23607
2017-07-24584
2017-07-25564
2017-07-26544
2017-07-27531
2017-07-28517
2017-07-29496
2017-07-30480
2017-07-31469
2017-08-01452
2017-08-02438
2017-08-03437
2017-08-04422
2017-08-05409
2017-08-06407
2017-08-07403
2017-08-08398
2017-08-09395
2017-08-10391
2017-08-11388
2017-08-12379
2017-08-13374
2017-08-14367
2017-08-15362
2017-08-16357
2017-08-17355
2017-08-18353
2017-08-19349
2017-08-20346
2017-08-21338
2017-08-22332
2017-08-23347
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25341
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27330
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29322
2017-08-30314
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01304
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03292
2017-09-04290
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09263
2017-09-10265
2017-09-11265
2017-09-12260
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14255
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16253
2017-09-17250
2017-09-18239
2017-09-19239
2017-09-20253
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22279
2017-09-23276
2017-09-24272
2017-09-25280
2017-09-26286
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28285
2017-09-29285
2017-09-30284



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
download csv