Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 22 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-235467Daily Model Output (20170522)
2017-05-245343
2017-05-255928
2017-05-266663
2017-05-278062
2017-05-288738
2017-05-298397
2017-05-307598
2017-05-316804
2017-06-016449
2017-06-026591ESP Model Output (20170521)
2017-06-036715
2017-06-047193
2017-06-057395
2017-06-067606
2017-06-077280
2017-06-087502
2017-06-097485
2017-06-106938
2017-06-116818
2017-06-126956
2017-06-136703
2017-06-145917
2017-06-155797
2017-06-165578
2017-06-175180
2017-06-184918
2017-06-194718
2017-06-204375
2017-06-214220
2017-06-224055
2017-06-233738
2017-06-243616
2017-06-253436
2017-06-263161
2017-06-273004
2017-06-282963
2017-06-292780
2017-06-302481
2017-07-012441
2017-07-022307
2017-07-032122
2017-07-041863
2017-07-051771
2017-07-061732
2017-07-071566
2017-07-081443
2017-07-091334
2017-07-101235
2017-07-111143
2017-07-121085
2017-07-131019
2017-07-14964
2017-07-15910
2017-07-16881
2017-07-17821
2017-07-18773
2017-07-19730
2017-07-20696
2017-07-21665
2017-07-22642
2017-07-23605
2017-07-24578
2017-07-25568
2017-07-26548
2017-07-27529
2017-07-28511
2017-07-29490
2017-07-30485
2017-07-31473
2017-08-01453
2017-08-02439
2017-08-03441
2017-08-04425
2017-08-05413
2017-08-06406
2017-08-07400
2017-08-08400
2017-08-09397
2017-08-10392
2017-08-11389
2017-08-12377
2017-08-13373
2017-08-14367
2017-08-15362
2017-08-16358
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18355
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20347
2017-08-21339
2017-08-22333
2017-08-23348
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25341
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27330
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29323
2017-08-30314
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01304
2017-09-02300
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04291
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07275
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10265
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12261
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14256
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16253
2017-09-17250
2017-09-18240
2017-09-19239
2017-09-20254
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22280
2017-09-23276
2017-09-24273
2017-09-25281
2017-09-26286
2017-09-27274
2017-09-28285
2017-09-29285
2017-09-30282



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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