Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 23 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-245257Daily Model Output (20170523)
2017-05-255061
2017-05-265647
2017-05-277801
2017-05-288484
2017-05-298711
2017-05-308947
2017-05-317949
2017-06-016917
2017-06-027095
2017-06-037613ESP Model Output (20170522)
2017-06-048194
2017-06-058102
2017-06-067972
2017-06-077645
2017-06-087775
2017-06-097488
2017-06-107032
2017-06-117005
2017-06-127137
2017-06-136789
2017-06-146142
2017-06-155891
2017-06-165591
2017-06-175156
2017-06-184952
2017-06-194632
2017-06-204523
2017-06-214325
2017-06-224092
2017-06-233914
2017-06-243661
2017-06-253470
2017-06-263200
2017-06-273059
2017-06-282978
2017-06-292818
2017-06-302505
2017-07-012416
2017-07-022331
2017-07-032132
2017-07-041865
2017-07-051747
2017-07-061764
2017-07-071591
2017-07-081441
2017-07-091306
2017-07-101216
2017-07-111113
2017-07-121111
2017-07-131044
2017-07-14983
2017-07-15920
2017-07-16888
2017-07-17831
2017-07-18785
2017-07-19744
2017-07-20707
2017-07-21673
2017-07-22644
2017-07-23612
2017-07-24590
2017-07-25568
2017-07-26548
2017-07-27529
2017-07-28509
2017-07-29491
2017-07-30488
2017-07-31470
2017-08-01455
2017-08-02440
2017-08-03443
2017-08-04428
2017-08-05415
2017-08-06408
2017-08-07400
2017-08-08402
2017-08-09398
2017-08-10393
2017-08-11390
2017-08-12377
2017-08-13374
2017-08-14370
2017-08-15365
2017-08-16360
2017-08-17357
2017-08-18357
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20348
2017-08-21341
2017-08-22333
2017-08-23349
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25342
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27331
2017-08-28331
2017-08-29324
2017-08-30315
2017-08-31309
2017-09-01305
2017-09-02300
2017-09-03294
2017-09-04292
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06279
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10266
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13260
2017-09-14256
2017-09-15253
2017-09-16253
2017-09-17251
2017-09-18240
2017-09-19239
2017-09-20255
2017-09-21253
2017-09-22282
2017-09-23277
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25282
2017-09-26288
2017-09-27275
2017-09-28285
2017-09-29285
2017-09-30283



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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