Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 25 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-264206Daily Model Output (20170525)
2017-05-275142
2017-05-287309
2017-05-297750
2017-05-307596
2017-05-316649
2017-06-016318
2017-06-026640
2017-06-037183
2017-06-047944
2017-06-059167ESP Model Output (20170524)
2017-06-069241
2017-06-078938
2017-06-088522
2017-06-098429
2017-06-107827
2017-06-117744
2017-06-127842
2017-06-137473
2017-06-146773
2017-06-156448
2017-06-166071
2017-06-175697
2017-06-185300
2017-06-195062
2017-06-204910
2017-06-214632
2017-06-224496
2017-06-234389
2017-06-244062
2017-06-253737
2017-06-263468
2017-06-273316
2017-06-283196
2017-06-293054
2017-06-302733
2017-07-012628
2017-07-022532
2017-07-032284
2017-07-041991
2017-07-051869
2017-07-061871
2017-07-071672
2017-07-081520
2017-07-091393
2017-07-101305
2017-07-111196
2017-07-121218
2017-07-131142
2017-07-141050
2017-07-15978
2017-07-16950
2017-07-17876
2017-07-18833
2017-07-19785
2017-07-20744
2017-07-21713
2017-07-22677
2017-07-23641
2017-07-24615
2017-07-25595
2017-07-26578
2017-07-27553
2017-07-28528
2017-07-29511
2017-07-30508
2017-07-31485
2017-08-01469
2017-08-02455
2017-08-03456
2017-08-04442
2017-08-05427
2017-08-06417
2017-08-07412
2017-08-08407
2017-08-09403
2017-08-10400
2017-08-11394
2017-08-12384
2017-08-13379
2017-08-14375
2017-08-15370
2017-08-16364
2017-08-17362
2017-08-18361
2017-08-19354
2017-08-20351
2017-08-21346
2017-08-22337
2017-08-23352
2017-08-24352
2017-08-25345
2017-08-26338
2017-08-27333
2017-08-28333
2017-08-29326
2017-08-30318
2017-08-31312
2017-09-01308
2017-09-02302
2017-09-03296
2017-09-04294
2017-09-05286
2017-09-06281
2017-09-07278
2017-09-08272
2017-09-09267
2017-09-10268
2017-09-11267
2017-09-12264
2017-09-13261
2017-09-14257
2017-09-15256
2017-09-16256
2017-09-17253
2017-09-18243
2017-09-19242
2017-09-20257
2017-09-21255
2017-09-22286
2017-09-23279
2017-09-24277
2017-09-25285
2017-09-26288
2017-09-27278
2017-09-28286
2017-09-29284
2017-09-30282



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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