Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 26 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-275031Daily Model Output (20170526)
2017-05-286387
2017-05-297118
2017-05-307417
2017-05-316506
2017-06-016403
2017-06-026786
2017-06-037312
2017-06-047876
2017-06-058315
2017-06-068638ESP Model Output (20170525)
2017-06-078635
2017-06-088270
2017-06-098120
2017-06-107572
2017-06-117494
2017-06-127472
2017-06-137248
2017-06-146640
2017-06-156242
2017-06-165862
2017-06-175490
2017-06-185176
2017-06-194941
2017-06-204782
2017-06-214507
2017-06-224385
2017-06-234275
2017-06-243936
2017-06-253615
2017-06-263405
2017-06-273240
2017-06-283166
2017-06-292892
2017-06-302644
2017-07-012580
2017-07-022441
2017-07-032239
2017-07-041954
2017-07-051802
2017-07-061808
2017-07-071615
2017-07-081491
2017-07-091399
2017-07-101299
2017-07-111202
2017-07-121195
2017-07-131115
2017-07-141035
2017-07-15961
2017-07-16934
2017-07-17866
2017-07-18811
2017-07-19762
2017-07-20729
2017-07-21696
2017-07-22665
2017-07-23633
2017-07-24609
2017-07-25586
2017-07-26565
2017-07-27545
2017-07-28525
2017-07-29507
2017-07-30491
2017-07-31477
2017-08-01460
2017-08-02448
2017-08-03446
2017-08-04440
2017-08-05421
2017-08-06416
2017-08-07409
2017-08-08404
2017-08-09398
2017-08-10395
2017-08-11392
2017-08-12381
2017-08-13377
2017-08-14371
2017-08-15366
2017-08-16362
2017-08-17359
2017-08-18359
2017-08-19352
2017-08-20349
2017-08-21343
2017-08-22335
2017-08-23350
2017-08-24350
2017-08-25343
2017-08-26336
2017-08-27331
2017-08-28331
2017-08-29323
2017-08-30317
2017-08-31310
2017-09-01306
2017-09-02300
2017-09-03295
2017-09-04293
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06280
2017-09-07277
2017-09-08271
2017-09-09265
2017-09-10267
2017-09-11265
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13259
2017-09-14255
2017-09-15254
2017-09-16251
2017-09-17252
2017-09-18239
2017-09-19238
2017-09-20256
2017-09-21253
2017-09-22284
2017-09-23278
2017-09-24275
2017-09-25283
2017-09-26285
2017-09-27277
2017-09-28284
2017-09-29283
2017-09-30281



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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