Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 27 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-286362Daily Model Output (20170527)
2017-05-297174
2017-05-307075
2017-05-316386
2017-06-016552
2017-06-027032
2017-06-037733
2017-06-048348
2017-06-058577
2017-06-068578
2017-06-078859ESP Model Output (20170526)
2017-06-088753
2017-06-098466
2017-06-107615
2017-06-117546
2017-06-127473
2017-06-136845
2017-06-146466
2017-06-156052
2017-06-165712
2017-06-175343
2017-06-184994
2017-06-194741
2017-06-204441
2017-06-214319
2017-06-224221
2017-06-234065
2017-06-243730
2017-06-253398
2017-06-263224
2017-06-273098
2017-06-282934
2017-06-292709
2017-06-302502
2017-07-012430
2017-07-022292
2017-07-032111
2017-07-041813
2017-07-051695
2017-07-061675
2017-07-071487
2017-07-081358
2017-07-091281
2017-07-101190
2017-07-111117
2017-07-121134
2017-07-131063
2017-07-14995
2017-07-15918
2017-07-16885
2017-07-17820
2017-07-18778
2017-07-19729
2017-07-20694
2017-07-21667
2017-07-22642
2017-07-23614
2017-07-24587
2017-07-25569
2017-07-26547
2017-07-27529
2017-07-28512
2017-07-29491
2017-07-30476
2017-07-31461
2017-08-01450
2017-08-02439
2017-08-03433
2017-08-04423
2017-08-05413
2017-08-06407
2017-08-07403
2017-08-08396
2017-08-09393
2017-08-10390
2017-08-11387
2017-08-12376
2017-08-13373
2017-08-14366
2017-08-15362
2017-08-16358
2017-08-17357
2017-08-18356
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20346
2017-08-21340
2017-08-22333
2017-08-23347
2017-08-24348
2017-08-25341
2017-08-26334
2017-08-27329
2017-08-28329
2017-08-29320
2017-08-30314
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01303
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04291
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09263
2017-09-10266
2017-09-11263
2017-09-12261
2017-09-13257
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16248
2017-09-17250
2017-09-18236
2017-09-19235
2017-09-20254
2017-09-21251
2017-09-22283
2017-09-23277
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25277
2017-09-26281
2017-09-27276
2017-09-28280
2017-09-29281
2017-09-30280



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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