Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 28 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-296868Daily Model Output (20170528)
2017-05-306990
2017-05-316740
2017-06-016864
2017-06-027405
2017-06-038396
2017-06-049265
2017-06-059562
2017-06-069465
2017-06-079345
2017-06-088587ESP Model Output (20170527)
2017-06-098535
2017-06-108151
2017-06-117855
2017-06-127575
2017-06-137064
2017-06-146636
2017-06-156201
2017-06-165760
2017-06-175445
2017-06-185092
2017-06-194842
2017-06-204563
2017-06-214465
2017-06-224327
2017-06-234106
2017-06-243856
2017-06-253513
2017-06-263259
2017-06-273142
2017-06-283018
2017-06-292806
2017-06-302598
2017-07-012448
2017-07-022359
2017-07-032173
2017-07-041856
2017-07-051752
2017-07-061703
2017-07-071532
2017-07-081425
2017-07-091305
2017-07-101241
2017-07-111161
2017-07-121115
2017-07-131059
2017-07-14975
2017-07-15921
2017-07-16887
2017-07-17831
2017-07-18781
2017-07-19736
2017-07-20700
2017-07-21678
2017-07-22649
2017-07-23621
2017-07-24594
2017-07-25570
2017-07-26553
2017-07-27531
2017-07-28515
2017-07-29496
2017-07-30476
2017-07-31465
2017-08-01454
2017-08-02443
2017-08-03434
2017-08-04425
2017-08-05418
2017-08-06411
2017-08-07407
2017-08-08399
2017-08-09396
2017-08-10391
2017-08-11388
2017-08-12379
2017-08-13375
2017-08-14368
2017-08-15363
2017-08-16359
2017-08-17359
2017-08-18357
2017-08-19352
2017-08-20345
2017-08-21341
2017-08-22333
2017-08-23348
2017-08-24348
2017-08-25342
2017-08-26335
2017-08-27329
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29321
2017-08-30314
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01303
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04292
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06279
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08271
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10267
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16249
2017-09-17251
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19236
2017-09-20255
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22283
2017-09-23278
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25278
2017-09-26281
2017-09-27277
2017-09-28280
2017-09-29282
2017-09-30280



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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