Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 29 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-306572Daily Model Output (20170529)
2017-05-316461
2017-06-017069
2017-06-027961
2017-06-038665
2017-06-049221
2017-06-059197
2017-06-069033
2017-06-078967
2017-06-088868
2017-06-099094ESP Model Output (20170528)
2017-06-108848
2017-06-118332
2017-06-127761
2017-06-137147
2017-06-146705
2017-06-156218
2017-06-165839
2017-06-175410
2017-06-185049
2017-06-194776
2017-06-204531
2017-06-214383
2017-06-224122
2017-06-233974
2017-06-243634
2017-06-253442
2017-06-263188
2017-06-273080
2017-06-282948
2017-06-292730
2017-06-302552
2017-07-012359
2017-07-022265
2017-07-032043
2017-07-041779
2017-07-051650
2017-07-061649
2017-07-071474
2017-07-081387
2017-07-091275
2017-07-101182
2017-07-111106
2017-07-121039
2017-07-13986
2017-07-14930
2017-07-15884
2017-07-16851
2017-07-17799
2017-07-18761
2017-07-19717
2017-07-20683
2017-07-21661
2017-07-22634
2017-07-23607
2017-07-24583
2017-07-25560
2017-07-26536
2017-07-27518
2017-07-28505
2017-07-29491
2017-07-30470
2017-07-31459
2017-08-01449
2017-08-02438
2017-08-03427
2017-08-04415
2017-08-05409
2017-08-06408
2017-08-07401
2017-08-08395
2017-08-09393
2017-08-10390
2017-08-11388
2017-08-12379
2017-08-13372
2017-08-14367
2017-08-15362
2017-08-16358
2017-08-17355
2017-08-18357
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20342
2017-08-21339
2017-08-22331
2017-08-23347
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25340
2017-08-26334
2017-08-27328
2017-08-28330
2017-08-29320
2017-08-30313
2017-08-31309
2017-09-01302
2017-09-02299
2017-09-03294
2017-09-04291
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08271
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10267
2017-09-11264
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14255
2017-09-15252
2017-09-16249
2017-09-17252
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19237
2017-09-20255
2017-09-21253
2017-09-22284
2017-09-23278
2017-09-24274
2017-09-25279
2017-09-26282
2017-09-27277
2017-09-28281
2017-09-29282
2017-09-30281



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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