Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 30 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-05-315962Daily Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-016206
2017-06-027038
2017-06-038006
2017-06-048866
2017-06-058873
2017-06-068670
2017-06-078629
2017-06-088292
2017-06-097809
2017-06-108515ESP Model Output (20170529)
2017-06-118330
2017-06-127764
2017-06-137201
2017-06-146655
2017-06-156305
2017-06-165924
2017-06-175497
2017-06-185168
2017-06-194835
2017-06-204560
2017-06-214385
2017-06-224185
2017-06-233962
2017-06-243691
2017-06-253456
2017-06-263339
2017-06-273110
2017-06-282969
2017-06-292748
2017-06-302579
2017-07-012398
2017-07-022258
2017-07-032107
2017-07-041853
2017-07-051696
2017-07-061710
2017-07-071500
2017-07-081388
2017-07-091276
2017-07-101192
2017-07-111102
2017-07-121049
2017-07-131011
2017-07-14951
2017-07-15899
2017-07-16862
2017-07-17813
2017-07-18768
2017-07-19726
2017-07-20691
2017-07-21670
2017-07-22646
2017-07-23613
2017-07-24582
2017-07-25558
2017-07-26540
2017-07-27523
2017-07-28510
2017-07-29491
2017-07-30473
2017-07-31462
2017-08-01451
2017-08-02440
2017-08-03432
2017-08-04419
2017-08-05413
2017-08-06411
2017-08-07404
2017-08-08397
2017-08-09395
2017-08-10392
2017-08-11388
2017-08-12377
2017-08-13371
2017-08-14368
2017-08-15364
2017-08-16360
2017-08-17356
2017-08-18358
2017-08-19350
2017-08-20343
2017-08-21340
2017-08-22333
2017-08-23345
2017-08-24349
2017-08-25339
2017-08-26334
2017-08-27328
2017-08-28329
2017-08-29321
2017-08-30313
2017-08-31308
2017-09-01303
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03294
2017-09-04291
2017-09-05285
2017-09-06278
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08270
2017-09-09264
2017-09-10264
2017-09-11263
2017-09-12262
2017-09-13258
2017-09-14255
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16249
2017-09-17251
2017-09-18237
2017-09-19237
2017-09-20254
2017-09-21252
2017-09-22279
2017-09-23277
2017-09-24270
2017-09-25274
2017-09-26276
2017-09-27277
2017-09-28281
2017-09-29281
2017-09-30281



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
download csv