Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: May 31 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-015947Daily Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-026460
2017-06-037513
2017-06-048507
2017-06-058639
2017-06-068763
2017-06-079067
2017-06-089024
2017-06-098336
2017-06-107487
2017-06-117474ESP Model Output (20170530)
2017-06-127328
2017-06-136782
2017-06-146472
2017-06-156059
2017-06-165653
2017-06-175280
2017-06-185004
2017-06-194630
2017-06-204442
2017-06-214254
2017-06-223983
2017-06-233789
2017-06-243558
2017-06-253328
2017-06-263171
2017-06-273006
2017-06-282867
2017-06-292669
2017-06-302464
2017-07-012316
2017-07-022171
2017-07-032032
2017-07-041817
2017-07-051674
2017-07-061657
2017-07-071474
2017-07-081352
2017-07-091237
2017-07-101139
2017-07-111057
2017-07-121002
2017-07-13977
2017-07-14919
2017-07-15869
2017-07-16835
2017-07-17788
2017-07-18752
2017-07-19708
2017-07-20674
2017-07-21657
2017-07-22631
2017-07-23602
2017-07-24574
2017-07-25546
2017-07-26526
2017-07-27511
2017-07-28495
2017-07-29483
2017-07-30461
2017-07-31455
2017-08-01447
2017-08-02435
2017-08-03428
2017-08-04416
2017-08-05407
2017-08-06404
2017-08-07400
2017-08-08395
2017-08-09392
2017-08-10386
2017-08-11377
2017-08-12371
2017-08-13366
2017-08-14362
2017-08-15361
2017-08-16357
2017-08-17355
2017-08-18354
2017-08-19348
2017-08-20341
2017-08-21338
2017-08-22332
2017-08-23343
2017-08-24347
2017-08-25338
2017-08-26333
2017-08-27327
2017-08-28326
2017-08-29319
2017-08-30310
2017-08-31307
2017-09-01302
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04290
2017-09-05283
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09263
2017-09-10262
2017-09-11259
2017-09-12261
2017-09-13256
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16248
2017-09-17247
2017-09-18236
2017-09-19236
2017-09-20251
2017-09-21251
2017-09-22277
2017-09-23277
2017-09-24269
2017-09-25274
2017-09-26274
2017-09-27276
2017-09-28280
2017-09-29280
2017-09-30280



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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