Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 01 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-026334Daily Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-036941
2017-06-047959
2017-06-058268
2017-06-068313
2017-06-078702
2017-06-088940
2017-06-098301
2017-06-107670
2017-06-117192
2017-06-127306ESP Model Output (20170531)
2017-06-136913
2017-06-146503
2017-06-156077
2017-06-165654
2017-06-175263
2017-06-184991
2017-06-194606
2017-06-204413
2017-06-214154
2017-06-223960
2017-06-233731
2017-06-243455
2017-06-253260
2017-06-263067
2017-06-272887
2017-06-282712
2017-06-292561
2017-06-302368
2017-07-012194
2017-07-022077
2017-07-031937
2017-07-041727
2017-07-051619
2017-07-061592
2017-07-071409
2017-07-081279
2017-07-091185
2017-07-101107
2017-07-111027
2017-07-12970
2017-07-13944
2017-07-14889
2017-07-15842
2017-07-16811
2017-07-17772
2017-07-18733
2017-07-19696
2017-07-20665
2017-07-21646
2017-07-22615
2017-07-23586
2017-07-24560
2017-07-25535
2017-07-26512
2017-07-27501
2017-07-28489
2017-07-29475
2017-07-30457
2017-07-31452
2017-08-01444
2017-08-02428
2017-08-03420
2017-08-04412
2017-08-05405
2017-08-06401
2017-08-07396
2017-08-08394
2017-08-09389
2017-08-10380
2017-08-11372
2017-08-12371
2017-08-13365
2017-08-14360
2017-08-15358
2017-08-16355
2017-08-17353
2017-08-18350
2017-08-19345
2017-08-20339
2017-08-21337
2017-08-22327
2017-08-23342
2017-08-24344
2017-08-25337
2017-08-26332
2017-08-27326
2017-08-28324
2017-08-29317
2017-08-30309
2017-08-31305
2017-09-01301
2017-09-02297
2017-09-03293
2017-09-04290
2017-09-05284
2017-09-06277
2017-09-07276
2017-09-08269
2017-09-09263
2017-09-10262
2017-09-11259
2017-09-12261
2017-09-13256
2017-09-14254
2017-09-15251
2017-09-16248
2017-09-17247
2017-09-18236
2017-09-19236
2017-09-20249
2017-09-21251
2017-09-22274
2017-09-23277
2017-09-24269
2017-09-25273
2017-09-26272
2017-09-27276
2017-09-28279
2017-09-29280
2017-09-30280



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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