Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 02 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-037063Daily Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-047749
2017-06-058110
2017-06-068236
2017-06-078631
2017-06-088581
2017-06-098325
2017-06-107818
2017-06-117222
2017-06-126656
2017-06-136962ESP Model Output (20170601)
2017-06-146411
2017-06-155889
2017-06-165427
2017-06-174983
2017-06-184717
2017-06-194366
2017-06-204121
2017-06-213896
2017-06-223671
2017-06-233412
2017-06-243226
2017-06-253003
2017-06-262787
2017-06-272606
2017-06-282447
2017-06-292264
2017-06-302105
2017-07-011952
2017-07-021815
2017-07-031729
2017-07-041517
2017-07-051446
2017-07-061416
2017-07-071276
2017-07-081166
2017-07-091069
2017-07-101003
2017-07-11940
2017-07-12892
2017-07-13862
2017-07-14816
2017-07-15783
2017-07-16754
2017-07-17718
2017-07-18682
2017-07-19650
2017-07-20627
2017-07-21604
2017-07-22576
2017-07-23553
2017-07-24532
2017-07-25508
2017-07-26489
2017-07-27478
2017-07-28470
2017-07-29458
2017-07-30437
2017-07-31437
2017-08-01428
2017-08-02412
2017-08-03407
2017-08-04400
2017-08-05392
2017-08-06388
2017-08-07385
2017-08-08381
2017-08-09376
2017-08-10368
2017-08-11361
2017-08-12360
2017-08-13356
2017-08-14354
2017-08-15350
2017-08-16346
2017-08-17343
2017-08-18343
2017-08-19338
2017-08-20332
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22322
2017-08-23336
2017-08-24339
2017-08-25332
2017-08-26327
2017-08-27322
2017-08-28319
2017-08-29313
2017-08-30305
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01297
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03290
2017-09-04286
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09259
2017-09-10259
2017-09-11256
2017-09-12258
2017-09-13253
2017-09-14250
2017-09-15247
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17244
2017-09-18233
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20244
2017-09-21248
2017-09-22271
2017-09-23272
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25269
2017-09-26269
2017-09-27272
2017-09-28275
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30276



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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