Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 03 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-047962Daily Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-058558
2017-06-068396
2017-06-078594
2017-06-088595
2017-06-098398
2017-06-108222
2017-06-117676
2017-06-127004
2017-06-136400
2017-06-146061ESP Model Output (20170602)
2017-06-155783
2017-06-165349
2017-06-174917
2017-06-184632
2017-06-194317
2017-06-204091
2017-06-213846
2017-06-223620
2017-06-233404
2017-06-243207
2017-06-252943
2017-06-262755
2017-06-272595
2017-06-282451
2017-06-292255
2017-06-302069
2017-07-011945
2017-07-021809
2017-07-031703
2017-07-041492
2017-07-051427
2017-07-061387
2017-07-071267
2017-07-081161
2017-07-091065
2017-07-10997
2017-07-11937
2017-07-12887
2017-07-13846
2017-07-14808
2017-07-15771
2017-07-16749
2017-07-17700
2017-07-18670
2017-07-19640
2017-07-20611
2017-07-21591
2017-07-22566
2017-07-23551
2017-07-24530
2017-07-25506
2017-07-26487
2017-07-27476
2017-07-28467
2017-07-29456
2017-07-30435
2017-07-31432
2017-08-01422
2017-08-02411
2017-08-03405
2017-08-04399
2017-08-05391
2017-08-06387
2017-08-07383
2017-08-08379
2017-08-09374
2017-08-10367
2017-08-11361
2017-08-12358
2017-08-13355
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15346
2017-08-16344
2017-08-17341
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19336
2017-08-20330
2017-08-21329
2017-08-22321
2017-08-23335
2017-08-24336
2017-08-25332
2017-08-26326
2017-08-27321
2017-08-28317
2017-08-29312
2017-08-30304
2017-08-31299
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02292
2017-09-03288
2017-09-04286
2017-09-05279
2017-09-06272
2017-09-07271
2017-09-08265
2017-09-09258
2017-09-10258
2017-09-11255
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13252
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15245
2017-09-16241
2017-09-17243
2017-09-18233
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20243
2017-09-21248
2017-09-22269
2017-09-23269
2017-09-24265
2017-09-25268
2017-09-26268
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29276
2017-09-30275



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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