Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 04 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-058603Daily Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-068721
2017-06-078785
2017-06-088924
2017-06-098391
2017-06-108026
2017-06-117616
2017-06-126968
2017-06-136116
2017-06-145378
2017-06-155712ESP Model Output (20170603)
2017-06-165018
2017-06-174760
2017-06-184535
2017-06-194271
2017-06-203977
2017-06-213748
2017-06-223513
2017-06-233301
2017-06-243121
2017-06-252869
2017-06-262705
2017-06-272551
2017-06-282406
2017-06-292208
2017-06-302021
2017-07-011872
2017-07-021768
2017-07-031626
2017-07-041444
2017-07-051358
2017-07-061295
2017-07-071193
2017-07-081104
2017-07-091028
2017-07-10962
2017-07-11909
2017-07-12862
2017-07-13826
2017-07-14789
2017-07-15752
2017-07-16728
2017-07-17682
2017-07-18657
2017-07-19630
2017-07-20603
2017-07-21577
2017-07-22553
2017-07-23538
2017-07-24522
2017-07-25497
2017-07-26481
2017-07-27466
2017-07-28456
2017-07-29450
2017-07-30432
2017-07-31423
2017-08-01415
2017-08-02410
2017-08-03404
2017-08-04395
2017-08-05385
2017-08-06385
2017-08-07381
2017-08-08375
2017-08-09371
2017-08-10366
2017-08-11358
2017-08-12356
2017-08-13354
2017-08-14347
2017-08-15345
2017-08-16343
2017-08-17339
2017-08-18339
2017-08-19336
2017-08-20329
2017-08-21328
2017-08-22318
2017-08-23334
2017-08-24335
2017-08-25332
2017-08-26326
2017-08-27321
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29309
2017-08-30304
2017-08-31298
2017-09-01295
2017-09-02292
2017-09-03288
2017-09-04286
2017-09-05279
2017-09-06272
2017-09-07271
2017-09-08263
2017-09-09258
2017-09-10258
2017-09-11255
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13251
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15245
2017-09-16240
2017-09-17241
2017-09-18232
2017-09-19232
2017-09-20242
2017-09-21247
2017-09-22269
2017-09-23267
2017-09-24264
2017-09-25268
2017-09-26268
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29276
2017-09-30274



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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