Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 05 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-068878Daily Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-079353
2017-06-089802
2017-06-0910007
2017-06-109594
2017-06-118757
2017-06-127809
2017-06-136852
2017-06-145877
2017-06-155238
2017-06-164849ESP Model Output (20170604)
2017-06-174619
2017-06-184467
2017-06-194107
2017-06-203981
2017-06-213797
2017-06-223558
2017-06-233336
2017-06-243101
2017-06-252903
2017-06-262738
2017-06-272577
2017-06-282381
2017-06-292254
2017-06-302049
2017-07-011907
2017-07-021780
2017-07-031639
2017-07-041454
2017-07-051353
2017-07-061335
2017-07-071218
2017-07-081125
2017-07-091039
2017-07-10974
2017-07-11914
2017-07-12876
2017-07-13840
2017-07-14794
2017-07-15758
2017-07-16729
2017-07-17698
2017-07-18660
2017-07-19636
2017-07-20609
2017-07-21582
2017-07-22556
2017-07-23540
2017-07-24523
2017-07-25500
2017-07-26487
2017-07-27468
2017-07-28460
2017-07-29451
2017-07-30430
2017-07-31422
2017-08-01417
2017-08-02412
2017-08-03407
2017-08-04396
2017-08-05387
2017-08-06387
2017-08-07383
2017-08-08379
2017-08-09370
2017-08-10364
2017-08-11360
2017-08-12358
2017-08-13354
2017-08-14348
2017-08-15346
2017-08-16342
2017-08-17340
2017-08-18339
2017-08-19337
2017-08-20329
2017-08-21329
2017-08-22319
2017-08-23334
2017-08-24335
2017-08-25332
2017-08-26326
2017-08-27321
2017-08-28316
2017-08-29310
2017-08-30304
2017-08-31299
2017-09-01295
2017-09-02292
2017-09-03288
2017-09-04287
2017-09-05279
2017-09-06272
2017-09-07271
2017-09-08263
2017-09-09258
2017-09-10259
2017-09-11255
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13251
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15245
2017-09-16241
2017-09-17240
2017-09-18232
2017-09-19231
2017-09-20241
2017-09-21247
2017-09-22269
2017-09-23267
2017-09-24264
2017-09-25268
2017-09-26268
2017-09-27271
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29276
2017-09-30274



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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