Yampa - Deerlodge
Daily Average Forecast Flow (ending 12z on given date)
Units: CFSD

Created: June 06 2017

DAILY TOTAL: deterministic forecast flow (official forecast on CBRFC website)
ESP TOTAL: 50% exceedance forecast flow based on climatology


DATETOTAL
2017-06-079505Daily Model Output (20170606)
2017-06-089546
2017-06-099836
2017-06-109271
2017-06-118549
2017-06-127689
2017-06-136887
2017-06-146080
2017-06-155358
2017-06-164840
2017-06-174830ESP Model Output (20170605)
2017-06-184546
2017-06-194340
2017-06-204093
2017-06-213923
2017-06-223640
2017-06-233445
2017-06-243173
2017-06-252936
2017-06-262863
2017-06-272680
2017-06-282477
2017-06-292306
2017-06-302151
2017-07-011953
2017-07-021839
2017-07-031703
2017-07-041524
2017-07-051430
2017-07-061364
2017-07-071254
2017-07-081162
2017-07-091076
2017-07-101009
2017-07-11942
2017-07-12915
2017-07-13867
2017-07-14824
2017-07-15791
2017-07-16759
2017-07-17715
2017-07-18677
2017-07-19658
2017-07-20626
2017-07-21598
2017-07-22574
2017-07-23553
2017-07-24539
2017-07-25514
2017-07-26499
2017-07-27478
2017-07-28467
2017-07-29462
2017-07-30441
2017-07-31430
2017-08-01424
2017-08-02414
2017-08-03412
2017-08-04402
2017-08-05391
2017-08-06389
2017-08-07386
2017-08-08379
2017-08-09373
2017-08-10367
2017-08-11364
2017-08-12360
2017-08-13357
2017-08-14350
2017-08-15349
2017-08-16344
2017-08-17342
2017-08-18341
2017-08-19335
2017-08-20331
2017-08-21331
2017-08-22320
2017-08-23334
2017-08-24337
2017-08-25334
2017-08-26328
2017-08-27322
2017-08-28317
2017-08-29311
2017-08-30305
2017-08-31300
2017-09-01296
2017-09-02293
2017-09-03289
2017-09-04288
2017-09-05280
2017-09-06273
2017-09-07272
2017-09-08264
2017-09-09259
2017-09-10260
2017-09-11256
2017-09-12257
2017-09-13252
2017-09-14248
2017-09-15246
2017-09-16242
2017-09-17242
2017-09-18233
2017-09-19233
2017-09-20241
2017-09-21247
2017-09-22270
2017-09-23268
2017-09-24266
2017-09-25269
2017-09-26269
2017-09-27272
2017-09-28274
2017-09-29277
2017-09-30275



SPECIFIC SITE NOTES:
**Flows can be affected by Elkhead Reservoir operations.
**Large differences between the deterministic flows and ESP flows can occur
when the observed gage data is much different than the raw model simulation.

GENERAL NOTES:
- Days 1-10 are from the CBRFC deterministic model. This uses
5 days of precipitation forecasts and 10 days of temperature
forecasts. These are updated daily and will change as the
weather forecast changes
past days 3-5.
- Days 11 and beyond are from the Ensemble Prediction Model (ESP).
This model is driven primarily by climatology for the 1981-2015
period. This guidance is probabilistic and used the 50% exceedance
value. It is best to use this as a possible pattern of flow into
the future as opposed to an exact value that will occur.
- An abrupt change in guidance may occur at the switch from the
daily model to the ESP model
- The daily model is using a temperature forecast that is either
much above or below normal before reverting to normal
temperatures in ESP.
- If there is regulation (reservoirs
forecast point there may be differences between the two runs in
how they are being handled. Please check with CBRFC forecasters
for details on specific forecast points.
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